Pre-acquisition · Lower middle market
$2M commitment pulled after digital and competitive mismatch
The seller's narrative leaned on "dominant local share" and stable organic demand. Financials were clean enough that traditional diligence was trending toward proceed.
Our digital footprint and competitive work showed a different picture: declining branded search share of voice, a thin backlink profile propped up by paid placements, and a new regional competitor capturing the queries that historically fed the pipeline. CAC sensitivity to two channels was far higher than represented in management materials.
Outcome: the buyer walked. The diligence fee versus the protected equity check was an easy trade.
- Engagement Pre-acquisition intelligence
- Timeline 5 weeks
- Decision No-go